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Local Election Adjournment Targets the
MB
By Mohamed Abdel Aziz
Earlier this month the Egyptian Shoura Council approved a
government-sponsored bill that called for a two-year postponement of
municipal elections, which were originally scheduled for April 2006.
Two days later, the NDP-dominated People’s Assembly passed the bill.
Most analysts attributed the postponement to the government’s fear
that the Muslim Brotherhood (MB) might achieve a sweeping victory in
the local councils, similar to their unprecedented gains in last
fall’s legislative election. During that election, despite only
fielding candidates for about one third of the 444 contested seats
in parliament, the MB won 88 (roughly 20 percent). Furthermore,
Hamas’ victory in Palestine and the ongoing row over offensive
cartoons published in some European newspapers have fuelled fears of
a further boost in the popularity of the Islamic movement in Egypt,
which would have likely been translated into electoral gains had
local elections been held in April.
The primary objective of the postponement
was undoubtedly to block the banned MB from fielding a candidate for
president in 2011. Article 76 of the Egyptian constitution, amended in
May 2005, stipulates that in order to field an independent candidate,
250 signatures must be obtained from elected officials. Of these, no
fewer than 65 must come from the Peoples’ Assembly, at least 25 from
the Shoura Council, and 140 from local councils (at least 10 from each
of 14 different governorates). It should be emphasized that the MB
currently occupies no seats in the Shoura Council, but, importantly,
elections are to be held in 2007 for one third of the Council’s 264
seats. The other two thirds of the Shoura Council will be appointed
just after the elections.
Local councils are currently repositories of NDP power, where the
ruling party controls well over 95 percent of the elected positions.
Greater representation in municipal councils is desirable for the
Brotherhood, not only out of necessity in fielding a candidate in
2011, but because these local administrations handle matters like
building schools and distributing water resources—social services
integral to the MB’s grassroots appeal.
The government has cast the delay as a necessity for promoting greater
democracy; a transformation period in which decentralization will
bring greater autonomy to local governments. However, critics have
emphasized that decentralization and elections are hardly mutually
exclusive.
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